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ABBOTT LABORATORIES (ABT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 was solid: revenue $11.37B (+6.9% reported; +7.5% organic ex‑COVID) and adjusted EPS $1.30; EPS was in line with consensus and revenue was essentially in line, reflecting broad-based strength in Medical Devices and resilient EPD, offset by Diagnostics headwinds in China .
- Medical Devices drove the quarter with double‑digit growth across Diabetes Care, Electrophysiology, Rhythm Management, Heart Failure, and Structural Heart; FreeStyle Libre CGM sales reached $2.0B (+17.2% organic) .
- Abbott reaffirmed FY25 organic sales guidance and narrowed FY25 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.12–$5.18 (double‑digit growth at midpoint), and declared a $0.59 quarterly dividend (407th consecutive) .
- Key catalysts: structural heart approvals (TriClip in Japan; Navitor CE Mark expanded indication), EP PFA “Volt” ramp OUS with US expected next year, and CRM momentum from AVEIR leadless pacemakers; management signaled Diagnostics headwinds should lap by Q4 and ease in 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Devices-led growth: “sales grew 12.5% driven by double-digit growth in diabetes care, electrophysiology, cardiac rhythm management, heart failure and structural heart” .
- Libre strength: CGM sales $2.0B; management remains “very bullish on the basal segment…only ~20% penetrated in the U.S.” with additional sensor launches to drive penetration .
- Strategic approvals: TriClip approval in Japan and Navitor expanded CE Mark broaden treatment options and support share gains in TAVR/TEER; ESC guidelines upgraded TEER for mitral and tricuspid valves .
- Quote: “Recently launched new products generated nearly $500 million in sales this quarter and added more than 100 basis points to organic sales growth” – Robert Ford .
What Went Wrong
- Diagnostics headwinds: Global Diagnostics -7.8% organic; China VBP and DRG changes pressured core lab pricing and volumes; COVID testing declined to $69M from $265M YoY .
- Nutrition U.S. pediatric softness: share given back post competitor supply recovery; one large WIC contract loss impacted the quarter, though two new WIC wins start in Q1/Q2 2026 .
- Tariffs compressed gross margin: adjusted gross margin 55.8% of sales in Q3 (down sequentially), with tariff burden first meaningfully felt in Q3; mitigation underway .
Financial Results
Revenue and EPS across recent periods
Q3 2025 vs prior year and estimates
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Margins
Segment breakdown – Q3 2025
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Organic sales growth of 7.5% excluding COVID test sales…double-digit EPS growth when excluding the expected decline in COVID test sales” – Robert Ford .
- “Adjusted EPS of $1.30 was in line with the consensus estimate…adjusted operating margin was 23%…adjusted gross margin 55.8% reflecting the impact of tariffs” – CFO Phil Boudreau .
- “We remain on track to deliver high single-digit organic sales growth and double-digit EPS growth…with increasing contributions from new products across the portfolio” – Robert Ford .
- “Libre U.S. demand remains very strong…basal segment only about 20% penetrated in the U.S.; potential CMS coverage for non‑insulin Type 2 could be a future upside” – Robert Ford .
- “Diagnostics outside China accelerating (U.S. +10%); lapping China headwinds begins in Q4 and fully in 2026” – Robert Ford .
Q&A Highlights
- 2026 outlook: Management “very comfortable” with consensus for high single‑digit top‑line and double‑digit EPS growth, citing momentum, new launches (Volt U.S., dual‑analyte sensor, new Alinity, biosimilars), and lapping Diagnostic headwinds .
- Diabetes U.S. vs OUS: U.S. growth impacted by restocking timing but on track for >20% FY; basal penetration still low; dual‑analyte sensor to drive intensive segment; CMS coverage of non‑insulin T2 possible but not assumed in 2026 base .
- EP PFA differentiation: Volt’s focused energy delivery and Insight integration improve durability and enable conscious sedation; global PFA penetration could reach ~80% in U.S. by 2026 per discussion .
- Gross margin/tariffs: Tariff burden began in Q3; dedicated mitigation teams progressing; OM expansion intact; expect ~57% profile going forward per CFO commentary .
- Nutrition/WIC: Temporary share loss in U.S. pediatric; two new WIC contracts in place for Q1/Q2 2026; product launches planned to regain share .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.30 matched consensus ($1.30); revenue $11.37B was ~$0.02B below consensus ($11.39B) as Diagnostics headwinds offset Devices outperformance. Primary EPS estimates: 24; Revenue estimates: 24.*
- FY25 EPS guidance narrowed to $5.12–$5.18 (midpoint unchanged), implying stable Street models near-term; Devices strength and Diagnostics easing could bias 2026 estimates upward if execution continues .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Devices momentum is intact and broad-based; Diabetes, EP, Structural Heart, Heart Failure, and CRM all delivered double‑digit growth, supporting durable top‑line expansion into 2026 .
- Structural Heart catalysts (TriClip Japan, Navitor CE expansion, guideline upgrades) should sustain share gains in TAVR/TEER and underpin margin mix improvement .
- Diagnostics is the swing factor: China VBP/DRG headwinds are lapping; OUS strength (U.S., Europe, LatAm) points to mid single‑digit growth potential in 2026 if China stabilizes .
- Tariff headwinds compressed gross margin in Q3; mitigation actions are underway, and OM profile expansion remains a focus; monitor Q4 FX tailwind (~+1.5% to reported sales) .
- Libre runway remains long (low basal penetration; OUS underpenetrated; sensor innovation), and CMS coverage for non‑insulin T2 is an upside not in the base case .
- AVEIR leadless pacemaker is transforming CRM from low growth to double‑digit; penetration in dual chamber is early, representing meaningful runway .
- Near-term trading: In-line print with devices strength and reaffirmed guidance likely keeps focus on upcoming EP Volt U.S. timing, Diagnostics trajectory, and structural heart data/labels as incremental catalysts .
References: Q3 press release , Q3 8-K and exhibits , Q3 earnings call transcript , Q2 press release , Q1 press release , TriClip/Structural Heart and Navitor CE Mark press release , dividend release .